TSP에서 뮤추얼펀드 25% 배분 고민 — 어떤 공격적 베팅이 좋을까? 🤔

Why do you want to pick a mutual fund over an ETF?

It looks like all of those except FSMEX have significant expense ratios compared to the TSP's funds. I'd just go with the C fund instead of any of the non-TSP fund options. Plus then you not capped at 25% of your balance.

But if you insist on one of those funds to get extra exposed to AI/Semiconductors (the C fund tracks the S&P and so is also *very* exposed to that same thing in the market given it's being driven by the Mag 7 who are heavily invested in that already), I'd probably take FSELX if i was you.

FEMSX is more appealing to me overall, but at 100% I fund you're already primarily invested in international holdings. More international exposure doesn't really take advantage of the domestic policy stuff you're waning to take advantage of.

Of the remaining 3, there's pretty reasonable overlap in their holdings (at least in terms of technologies and underlying drivers, if not in specific companies in the case of FSLEX). Given how similiar the funds are, the only real thing in your control is the expense ratio you pay. Go with the fund that has the lowest ER when all else is equal, so in this case that FSELX.

But for real, with how much the current market is being driven by AI hype, C fund accomplishes most of what you're aiming for, but for a lower ER and in a much more well diversified way.

FCNTX or FLPSX

at 27, you've never experienced a major crash that needs a decade to break even. so I'm not sure your sense of risk tolerance is well-developed.


the truth is the past doesn't predict the future, and nobody knows for certain what companies or industries will perform the best in the future. when there's a lot of hype or attention to a certain industry, that often means the stock prices get inflated to unrealistic levels that mean very bad long-term results for investors.