인구 감소가 경제 침체를 의미할까? 🤔

yes

It’s definitely a smaller consumer base for businesses, so stock prices that are based on constant growth like number of subscribers might not hold. Lesser people also means lower GDP, unless wages grow due to demand for workers but even if birth rates rebound, we will hit a valley where the working and tax paying population is much lower than the retirees and people yet to hit the job market and that automatically puts strain on a macro level.

For most of history, the only way to become a wealthier society was having more land to feed more cities and mine more silver and gold. But over time with technological innovations, output is becoming more and more disconnected to physical resources and labor itself. The United States manufactures more now than in the 80s despite significantly fewer manufacturing workers. The American economy is significantly larger than the Indian economy despite having about ⅕ as many people. Although it should be noted, even if growth slows it doesn't mean people suffer. If half of Americans used public transit, and planned obsolescence didn't exist that would almost certainly be "bad" for growth and the existing economy, yet it wouldn't be a bad result for the majority of people affected.

No and yes. Less consumers means lower revenue. However.....of the consumers you have buy even more ...that can off set and even grow revenue above and beyond. It's not secret that Americans consume more today than 40 years ago. Then you have the rest of the worlds appetite to consume like an American.

Consider how many houses and living spaces are being built. A drop in population will depress the market.

I'd think so, it's also scary how fast populations collapse with lower birth rates and for example no net immigration. Huge consequences not only in amount of people but also age of those that remain, basically making things impossible in a few generations.

A society based strictly upon linear or exponential growth is not sustainable. Maybe capitalism relies upon, but at some point some things break. Simple common sense no matter how many people want to ignore it or try to convince people otherwise.

Not across the board. Demand for power and materials will certainly balloon as more and more things get automated to keep things running. Silver economy (services for old, often childless people), specialized tech and healthcare, luxuries. It's the middle class and mass market sell-by-volume stuff that faces a brutal contraction.

Consumption consumption consumption

Not necessarily. The bet that is being made by the people in charge right now is that AI and robotics will be able to replace the majority of lower class human labor in the somewhat near future. The next evolution of capitalism actually requires a smaller population Because large populations require resources (land, water, energy) and in order further consolidate resources they will need to take them from somewhere and that “where” is the resources we need to survive. Once robots can farm the land, fight the wars, drill the oil, ship the goods, with minimal human oversight and input the capitalists will be left with a choice: they can either agree to consolidating resources exponentially, they can decide that 1 trillion dollars and 1 million acres of land is “enough” for one person and they can provide for the lower castes. or they can reduce the number of mouths that need to be fed and watered and kept warm and use that land and water and energy to build more robots and more compute. There will always need to be some population of lower caste humans for genetic diversity, science, a steady supply of organs and stem cells and degenerate entertainment… but realistically once the trillionaires have bunkers defended by drone armies with vertical robot farms and dedicated energy sources and transport to and from each others’ bunkers… there’s not a huge need for us normal folk . Elon meant what he said when he said that money won’t matter. Only resources and the autonomous weapons to acquire and defend resources will matter. Right now capitalism still clings to the idea that it “needs consumers to spend” that model is going away. What it needs is disposable people to do the shit jobs and fight the wars and protect the .001%. once robots can do all that with minimal human input… there’s no need to keep us around.

If we didn't have welfare and things that support the weak by the efforts of the strong then no, population collapse wouldn't be economic collapse. But the strong do carry the burdens of the weak so as soon as the weak become the majority over the strong it all collapses. It all depends on which part of the population collapses, the strong or the weak. Expenditure v's Income.