왜 지나고 보면 다 명확한데 실전에선 어려울까요? 😩

That’s because hindsight will make any random structure appear as if it were inevitable. It’s called hindsight bias. It is also called narrative fallacy.

When you know the post is AI generated but can't prove it...

https://preview.redd.it/epmfecxw97vg1.jpeg?width=940&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d8e2c0bfaf0cfb700527b8f8f3c726eab166786a

I used to record my screens in OBS and then part of my trade review process was clipping all the best opportunities. On Sundays I would spend about 2 hours or so watching film of the best trades of that week. Now there's tools like tradingsim so I don't have to do that. But you have to find a way to practice seeing setups unfold rather than studying them once they've already played out.

Having a system helps. Your system should define:

1) rules (why do I do this, how do I do this)
2) entry criteria (when do I do this)
3) risk management strategy (how do I keep this)

Stare at charts and enter/exit in your head, write down what happened. Backtest, see what happens when price touches here, breaks over this indicator, etc., and record that. Try to only work on improving one aspect at a time; for example, if you want to discipline yourself to not take trades until after the first 15mins, then set an alarm and don't look until it goes off.

Because the information wasn’t there lol, just learn and move on. Overthinking is a traders worst nightmare.

Ever heard of the saying “hindsight is 20/20?”

https://preview.redd.it/352gguwqr7vg1.jpeg?width=1769&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4e6effdb73ba57a5eeaeafece859623c8d252938

It was pretty clear but I only took what I could lose in bet Since trump can always just restart the bombing

Coming from Al brook's school, I see it as probabilities playing out, since usually we are between 40-60 and at End of day you are looking at a 60% event and telling yourself, yeah sure right, ofcourse that happened, and while trading live, you are thinking the possibility of a 40% event occurring.

if everything makes perfect sense for you then you look at a chart in a wrong way... for example the price broke the all time high barrier and surged higher but there are also a lot of occasions where the price bounced back and reversed down.

there are always 2 possible directions and you can not predict it live how the chart will look in the end. its a game of possibilities but past data only shows you the direction it took in the end but the direction was never 100% certain its a constant battle.

your fault is you try to explain why a move happened but instead you should ask yourself: what else could have happened at any given step? the answer is obvious any thing can happen at any time but the edge is that one outcome is more certain than the other one. this pattern recognition is your edge and you have to trade your patterns because in a game of possibilities you can only make so many trades that your average wins are higher than your average losses.

There's this saying that goes: Hindsight is 20/20

That’s because it can go up or down