연속 손절을 어떻게 극복할까요? 🤔

That’s honestly a normal phase, especially with a 45% win rate. on paper your system literally *expects* losing streaks like that. What used to mess me up wasn’t the SLs, it was how i reacted after 2–3 losses. i’d start doubting everything or take random trades to “fix it,” which just made it worse.

What helped me was sticking to the exact same risk and just stepping away for a bit after a few losses. not changing the system mid-streak. if the edge is real, it plays out over a larger sample, not 5 trades

I went through the same thing while doing prop challenges (used apex trader funding back then fyi), and those losing streaks would hit hard mentally. but once i stopped reacting emotionally and just executed the plan, things evened out

so yeah, nothing’s broken. your job now is just not to sabotage a working system during the rough patches. All the best

Get used to it. Nothing else.

Youre experiencing what we call "cluster of bad luck".

Hmm. When I was relatively new, 2years into the market, I tried different things.

But the best one that gave me the best results was acceptance when entering an order.

Close your eyes, and visualize how you feel if your SL got hit. Same with TP.

If you feel pain and fear, get out of your chair and walk away. Come back next day.

Same with TP. If i feel elated and excited, I need to walk away.

My emotions must be regulated at all times.

Hi there! 4 or 5 stop losses is just part of the deal, in itself it's not cause for concern. If you backtested this strategy properly (with at least a few hundred trades), you probably would have seen this occur multiple times. You can also calculate a simple theoretical occurrence percentage based on your win rate. If you have a 45% win rate, that means the chance of 5 losses in a row is 0.55^5 = 5%. Maybe that doesn't sound like a lot, but that's assuming only 5 trades. If you keep trading this strategy 50, 100, 500 times, suddenly the odds of encountering 5 consecutive losses at some point are almost 100%.

If you're not feeling confident in your strategy, I'd recommend getting more familiar with coding and statistics. Personally I would use a combination of permutation testing and out-of-sample testing to make sure that this strategy is skillful and not just lucky. If you're not familiar with those methods, I recommend reading 'Testing and tuning market trading systems' by Timothy Masters. Personally I use techniques from that book in every backtest. If you're interested in this kind of computerized/statistical approach, I made a [youtube video](https://youtu.be/4cHiXysSrcg?si=u9J8cqdCzcyUqYQp) about my backtesting setup and I share the code on GitHub for free. Hope that helps!

How does a sales rep deal with losing 5 opportunities in a day?
How does an artist deal with 5 of his pictures not selling in a week?

They carry on and do their job.

If you're terrible, you'll have a beer and show up tomorrow again

If you're average, you reflect and show up tomorrow again

If you're good, you draw actionable conclusions and show up tomorrow again

If you're outstanding, you peer review it, take ownership, and show up tomorrow again


That's about it in terms of extended drawdown

The great traders are great losing. One of the most successful traders I've ever seen has a single rate in the 30s. 

I’d be a bit careful jumping to “something’s wrong” just because of 4–5 SLs.

With a 45% win rate and 1:2 RR, losing streaks like that are actually normal. It feels bad, but mathematically it’s expected from time to time.

The real question is whether those losses came from following your system or slipping back into old habits. If you followed everything properly, then yeah… it’s just part of the game. If not, then it’s not really a “losing streak,” it’s execution.

I’ve been through the same thing. Thought I had it figured out, then hit a string of losses and started doubting everything. Even when I was trading with apex, a few bad trades in a row would mess with my head more than it should have.

So I wouldn’t rush to change anything yet. A week isn’t enough data.

That’s nothing. I take the same trade at the same time everyday (30 minute opening range breakout). Last year I had a losing streak of like 6 or 7 trades. But I also had a winning streak of 8. Your sample size is mad small. Trade this strategy for a year and then you’ll see.

Around the 13 minute mark:

https://youtu.be/FGLuyx0aM-I?si=gaO095Doat98VJFB

You will get significant losing clusters with a 45% win rate. 

If you review your trades and confirm your entries were good, then it is just statistics. 

This is normal, it happens even with good systems.

With a 45% win rate, losing streaks of 4-6 trades are expected.
Best approach is just to stick to your plan, don’t change the system mid-way, and focus on long-term results, not short-term outcomes.

4-5 SLs in a row sucks, but with a 45% win rate and 1:2 RR it’s actually completely normal. That kind of system *expects* losing streaks like that, it’s just the math playing out. The dangerous part is what you do *after* those SLs. That’s where people start tweaking a working system, skipping valid setups, or sizing up to “make it back” and that’s usually when things go off track.

If you’ve backtested it and it’s solid, your only real job now is execution. Same risk per trade, same rules, no exceptions. Also worth checking your journal to make sure those SLs were all A+ setups and not slight rule bends creeping back in.

Losing is part of the game. What my rules are around SL, after first SL I reduce trade size to half, and third SL on the same day I reduce half again. After three losing trades in a row I am done for the day. This protects my capital and prevents revenge trading.