📊 방향성 강한 구간만 골라서 매매하는 전략, 의미 있을까?

Great comment. There are also appears to be certain time windows of the day that have higher than average likelihood of large directional moves too, especially if you trade futures, forex etc with near 24H trading. Backtest a year or so with your strategy on the investment vehicles you use and see what timeframe commonalities there are.

Focusing on strong one-way moves can work if you identify patterns or catalysts that consistently lead to momentum, like news events or macro shifts. Look for liquidity grabs or news-driven volatility that break out from consolidation zones. Just remember, market conditions can change, so adapt when those patterns stop working.

Absolutely, there’s value in only trading setups where the odds feel skewed in your favor — that’s basically **trading with an edge**. Your idea of waiting for converging flags or other strong one-way setups is a solid way to filter out noise.

A few points to consider:

1. **Edge over frequency:** You might take fewer trades, but if your setups are high-probability and have good R:R, it’s worth it. Many traders fail because they chase every little move.
2. **Expect drawdowns:** Even with your logic, you’ll only be right \~50% of the time if the market is essentially a coin flip in some periods. That’s fine — the key is keeping your losses smaller than your winners.
3. **Refine patterns:** Over time, you’ll notice which variations of the flag, session, or range produce the “strong one-way moves” you want. Your strategy should **lean on what actually works**, not just theory.
4. **Journaling & backtesting:** Track every trade, every edge, and how price behaves around those setups. Eventually you can quantify win-rate, expectancy, and R:R to know if your “only trade strong moves” idea is profitable.

Basically, **fewer but high-quality trades > lots of random trades**. If you can define what “strong one-way move” looks like and stick to risk rules, you absolutely *can* build a strategy around it.