📈 돌파 패턴, 어떤 기준으로 확신하시나요?

Yeah need answers

There's a lot of nuances. The quality of the breakout level, the price action leading up to the breakout, volume through the move and sustained volume following the move. Also need to look at bigger picture things like market environment, is the stock in a hot theme, does it have a fresh catalyst, etc.

As an Orderflow trader with level 2 data, i will try to give a comprehensive answer to this question, not sure it will be enough or not and many will find it unuseful for their naked chart system.

1. A breakout need to have high aggressive volume. If a breakout to the upside, i need to see a big buyers' volume. With naked chart (in forex market), a high "tick volume" can be misled. Total volume can be high but sellers n buyers could be balance, that's not a good sign.
2. Not just total volume is huge. A breakout needs a single big participant order involved. In orderflow tools, it is usually called big trade, large volume order, etc. It means there is ONE big player flush large contract into the market. Like 1000 contracts at a price point can either 2 players with 500 contracts each, or 100 small players with 10 contracts each. The first one is better.
3. With 1 & 2, usually footprint chart will show a stack imbalance. Ideally, there are no opposite seller at the breakout point to the upside (chart shows multiple 0 0 on the bid column).
4. It must happen in session hours, sometimes a few minutes before open still valid to me.
5. I need to see the build up first (some other strats can call accumulation, distribution, whatsover)
6. The breakout price point needs to be /used to be a high liquidity point.
...
But all of those just the first half of equation. Even with all criterias above checked, a breakout can still fail, or cannot hold its strength/momentum, or even worse - get trapped by even a bigger player. (How many times you see a skyrocket up move followed by a bigger down move, whipsaw at its finest without any structure to follow next).
So, my opinion is:
1. Dont try to anticipate breakout
2. Always manage position. After a breakout happens, the probability that your plan is right getting higher. Thats all. Higher chance, not 100% right. Manage & then pray.

Hope it helps someone. I understand that many will expect get an answer that can be applied to naked chart.

If you are a price action trader - ultimate confirmation is the creation of a new value area this give birth to a new trend or level

My stop not getting hit.