내부자 거래, 어떻게 적발될까? 🤔

They pinky promise to not do it. It is very difficult to prove. It happens all the time.

If they see suspicious volume before an announcement it's probably investigated. Unless you're connected to the white house.

Sure, maybe you don’t get caught the first time, but it’s easy money so you do it again. You want more, so you expand the operation a bit and keep at it. Over time, it just keeps growing. More people involved, more chances to get caught.

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/business-and-practice/elite-m-a-lawyers-fed-massive-insider-trading-ring-us-alleges

Mostly it involves someone knowing about earnings and mergers before they are announced. With legislation it's harder to prove because there are so many people who know about it and the process is so long.

It’s easy to not get caught, but it’s also easy to land yourself in big trouble. If you make a suspicious trade, and someone with authority decides to give a fuck, they can very likely pressure someone into snitching.

That being said, many people do it without anyone ever giving a fuck

dont worry, its only a $200 fine for 6-7 figure profits. That'll teach em.

If insider trading would be caught, Nancy Pelosi would not be outperforming Warren Buffet.

Potential legislation? Thousands of bills are introduced each year. They are available on congress.gov. Either way a tip about potential legislation or even floor activity doesn't mean the bill will be passed or signed into law.

Those that do go through a pretty public process before they get to that point and anyone that is paying attention can anticipate those that will make it across. It would also have to be a pretty specific type of bill that would only a effect a narrow industry if you think you are going to pick winners and losers and you'd still be guessing on how that bill will be implemented. For instance the bill as specific to ban ticktock in the US didn't exactly play out how people anticipated but still was out for a long time and there really wasn't any non-public knowledge surrounding it's passage or signing.

I'm sure someone will provide a scenario in the comments where it could apply but it would not nearly be as straightforward as people seem to believe.